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November 17-19, 2026, Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
November 17-19, 2026, Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
The Phocuswright Conference

Wonder and Uncertainty Take Center Stage at The Phocuswright Conference

Published December 2024
By Lorraine Sileo
Senior Analyst and Founder, Phocuswright Research

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Wisdom of industry veterans combined with youthful exuberance to create a celebratory atmosphere at the Phocuswright Conference in Phoenix, AZ, Nov. 19-21. Industry legends Rod Cuthbert and Michele Peluso were inducted into the Phocuswright Hall of Fame while up and coming female entrepreneurs Jessie Fischer and Arielle Warren won the Philip C. Wolf Memorial Scholarship award. The fact that both ends of the spectrum united – seasoned experts and mentors with start-ups and hopefuls – signals how the travel industry is morphing and innovating from historical legacies to a new age driven by AI.

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11/19 | 11/20 | 11/21

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From back-end efficiencies to front-end content curation, generative AI, AI agents and AI-powered search were all part of the dialogue describing the (near) future scenario. And while the piping might stay the same (think giants Expedia and Booking, hotel PMS/CRS and even the GDS not going away anytime soon), it’s the layer on top that’s just the icing on the cake. There’s also the discussion of AI dislocations (who wins/who loses) and a level of uncertainty not seen for over a decade (unless you count Covid, of course). This no holds barred, anything can happen spirit has energized a new generation of entrepreneurs and experts alike.

There is still a long way to go before the impact of AI is fully felt on the travel industry. With the conference theme of “The New Age(nts)” setting the tone, there was still much debate about which segments of the market will benefit from personalized AI agents that carry out tasks for the traveler throughout all stages of trip planning. Will AI eliminate the need for intermediaries and gatekeepers, thus empowering the supplier direct channels? Or will AI make the giants even bigger and consolidate power to a few, large OTAs and media companies?

“In this revolution of AI, the big guys are on it, and they have mountains of resources,” Chris Hemmeter, managing partner, Thayer Investment Partners, told the crowd of 1200+ attendees. Several speakers echoed the same sentiment, including Mark Mahaney, senior managing director and head of Internet equity research at Evercore, who pronounced that “the OTAs aren’t going away anytime soon…the big guys will be bigger,” especially when considering their 20+ years of data collection.

But there’s also room for new players. “The economics of distribution and travel don’t favor a monolithic solution… that’s just not how it works,” said Eric Blachford Founder Pine5 Partners and former Expedia CEO, explaining that the fragmented travel distribution landscape relies on many players with access to inventory. And when asked if incumbents will continue to rule, entrepreneur and venture capitalist Steve Singh said “I don’t buy that. In every single wave of technology, you’ve seen new leaders emerge.”

There was also the ongoing debate of whether Perplexity Pro, Search GPT, TikTok Search, Bing et al will challenge Google’s supremacy in search. While Google’s future remains bright (despite regulatory efforts to break up parent Alphabet), there is no doubt that the top of the funnel is being splintered by an array of new and interesting players that are embedded in our devices and habits. “All these AI tools, they are shifting away traffic from search, from Google especially to places where there is no clear business model,” said Pablo Delgado, CEO of Mirai. He believes ChatGPT and others will have to monetize to remain viable. He also thinks Google is under threat not just from AI but from demographics – “Google doesn’t exist” in the world of his 14-year-old daughter, who relies more on snapchat, Instagram, TikTok, and YouTube. Kristen Dalton, president of Tripadvisor, said the good news for them is how generative search opens opportunities for long form content. “They [Google] are constantly going to be there, but I think this moment opens up opportunity for others,” added Noreen Henry, chief revenue officer of Sojern.

Everyone did agree there is no way of knowing how the future of AI will play out, especially in this uncertain environment where everyone is experimenting and testing. “We don’t know what the world will look like in a year,” said Blachford, which makes it extra difficult to spot winning investments. It’s a “dangerous time for entrepreneurs” who are stuck and can’t pivot quickly, added Hemmeter. The winners will need staying power but also know when it’s time to shift strategies. But sitting on the sidelines is not an option, especially since tools are readily available and relatively easy to use. “It’s not the right time to put your head in the sand,” Blachford warned. Once the landscape is clearer, funding dollars will flow again, so be ready.

What’s real right now? Many speakers agreed that cost savings from AI are evident, especially in service delivery. Singh sees “massive change in corporate travel management,“ adding there’s an opportunity with modern technology to take the existing cost structure and cut it in half. He predicts that in 10 years, the exact same number of travel counselors will service “two to three times the number of customers.” Future TMCs that are built on AI native services will be more efficient, but not exclusive to any one channel or device. “I don’t think there is a world in which the TMC goes away,” said Singh, adding that chat, AI conversational interfaces, phone conversations and app messaging will all coexist based on travelers’ needs.

The Phocuswright Conference 2024, which celebrated 30 years of Phocuswright’s history, also featured leaders from Expedia, Priceline, Kayak, Airbnb, Google, Breeze, Amadeus and more and included a range of discussions and research on connected trips, loyalty, marketing, self-sovereign identity (SSI), social media and consumer tech. With 11 innovators vying for Travel Innovation and People’s Choice awards and hundreds of entrepreneurs in the audience, there was no dearth of ideas to envision the next era in travel, even if it’s still a bit murky.

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November 17-19, 2026
Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
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